Validation AI Forecast BSRN stations

Validation AI FORECAST - BSRN stations

Validation of AI Forecast solar radiation against the measurements of 14 BSRN stations

 

 

Network: Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN). See whole list of BSRN stations.
Number of stations: 14 stations, located in the Meteosat Second Generation Prime satellite.
Original time step and radiation components: 15 minutes and Global Horizontal Irradiation
Author: Alexandre BOILLEY


 

Illustration: list of the BSRN stations used for the validation =>

         

Comparison between 15 minutes Global Horizontal Irradiation forecast and BSRN data

(Table 1: in decreasing latitudes)

Station Code Country Latitude Longitude Altitude (m) Validation Period Number of Data Bias Correlation Standard Deviation Type of Climate
Lerwick LER Scotland 60.139 -1.185 80 2017-01-20 to 2017-07-31 8708 -0.36 (-0,54%) 0.8860 32.89 (49.37%) Oceanic
Toravere TOR Estonia 58.254 26.462 70 2017-09-01 to 2018-08-30 13615 -1.33 (-1.82%) 0.9205 30.69 (42.18%) Continental
Lindenberg LIN Germany 52.210 14.122 125 2016-02-01 to 2017-01-30 14739 -0.05 (-0.06%) 0.9145 31.68 (43.61%) Continental
Cabauw CAB The Netherlands 51.971 4.927 0 2018-01-01 to 2018-09-30 12045 1.45 (1.69%) 0.9363 29.48 (34.17%) Oceanic
Palaiseau PAL France 48.713 2.208 156 2017-01-01 to 2017-12-30 15083 -0.68 (-0.86%) 0.9203 33.12 (41.85%) Continental
Carpentras CAR France 44.083 5.059 100 2017-06-01 to 2018-05-30 15517 0.09 (0.09%) 0.9519 28.11 (28.32%) Mediterranean
Cener CEN Spain 42.816 -1.601 471 2017-06-01 to 2018-05-30 15365 3.62 (3.94%) 0.9331 33.49 (36.42%) Oceanic
Izaña IZA Spain 28.309 -16.499 2373 2017-01-01 to 2017-12-30 15592 2.80 (1.83%) 0.9505 34.91 (22.81%) Oceanic Montaneous
Tamanrasset TAM Algeria 22.790 5.529 1385 2017-10-01 to 2018-09-29 15927 -2.90 (-2.01%) 0.9623 31.33 (21.68%) Desertic
Petrolina PTR Brazil -9.068 -40.319 387 2017-01-01 to 2017-12-30 11985 3.26 (2.60%) 0.9229 39.15 (31.13%) Subtropical
Gobabeb GOB Namibia -23.561 15.042 407 2018-01-01 to 2018-08-31 10255 -8.74 (-6.10%) 0.9827 19.19 (13.39%) Desertic
Florianopolis FLO Brasilia -27.605 -48.523 11 2017-07-01 to 2018-06-29 15210 0.38 (0.36%) 0.9119 40.57 (38.77%) Subtropical
Sao Martinho da Serra SMS Brasilia -29.443 -53.823 489 2016-07-01 to 2017-06-14 14237 -3.95 (-3.60%) 0.9266 39.27 (35.79%) Subtropical
De Aar DAA South Africa -30.667 23.993 1287 2018-01-01 to 2018-09-30 11428 -1.49 (-1.18%) 0.9606 28.56 (22.60%) Desertic